As the electoral process for Maharashtra Assembly polls concluded on October 21, the predictions of Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit poll projects a landslide victory for the saffron alliance of Bharatiya Janata Party-Shiv Sena. In the Aurangabad East assembly seat, sitting BJP MLA Atul Moreshwar Save is projected to retain his seat, defeating AIMIM candidate Abdul Gaffar Quadri Syed for the second time. A total of 34 candidates are in the fray in Aurangabad East including BSP's Kishor Vishwanath Mhaske.
Aurangabad East: Semi-urban, unreserved constituency
Aurangabad East seat is situated in the Marathwada region's Aurangabad district of Aurangabad Lok Sabha constituency. This is a semi-urban, unreserved constituency with about 2.7 lakh eligible voters, of which 1.3 lakh are male and 1.2 lakh female. The seat is currently held by Atul Moreshwar Save. Aurangabad East constituency comprises of 27 wards of the Aurangabad Municipal Corporation.
Atul Moreshwar Save won by a margin of 4,260 votes (2.43%) defeating AIMIM candidate Abdul Gaffar Quadri Syed. The BJP had a vote share of 36.78% in 2014. In that election, there were 31 candidates in the fray and Aurangabad East registered a turnout of 66.99%.
Mahayuti to gain, UPA to dawdle
The Mahayuti alliance is projected to secure seats in the range of 216 to 230 with incumbent BJP laying hold of a significant majority with 135 to 142 seats. This will be followed by ally Shiv Sena, who is predicted to secure 81 to 88 seats in Maharashtra. Sharad Pawar's Nationalist Congress Party is predicted to grab 30 to 35 seats. Meanwhile, Congress is estimated to contribute 20 to 24 seats to the UPA alliance.
As per the predictions, BJP is like to secure 33% of vote share, followed by ally Shiv Sena with 24%. Sharad Pawar's NCP predicted to secure 15% vote share and Congress lags behind with 11%. While Others are predicted to win 10% of vote share, AIMIM to secure 2% and MNS left with only 1%.
- BJP - 135 to 142
- Shiv Sena- 81 to 88
- INC- 24 to 20
- NCP -35 to 30
- Others- 12 to 8
- MNS - 0
- AIMIM - 0 to 1
- Bjp 33%
- Shiv Sena 24%
- INC 11%
- NCP 15%
- AIMIM- 2%
The results for the Assembly elections will be announced by the Election Commission on October 24 (Thursday).